Are you interested in learning about a logical and structured approach to organizing your investing strategy, decision making and execution of investments in the stock market?
In this article I will reveal the ultimate strategy, let’s call it a “Stock Market Profits Blueprint”, which pulls together the best of professional financial fundamental analysis and professional technical analysis of the stock markets to give you a truly usable framework to approach your market investments.
This is a very detailed study and strategy. Grab a coffee, and settle down to absorb this.
Is this Investment Strategy Blueprint better than anything professional investors use today, I believe so, but it is up to you to decide!
This work includes, videos and a downloadable eBook completely free of charge. So ensure to read on to get the full impact, trust me it is worth the investment of your time.
Stock Market Strategy Introduction Video 1
The Stock Market Investing Strategy Blueprint
This books seeks to break a few myths about how the market operates and most importantly provides a blueprint of how to structure a successful investment strategy.
The stock market profits blueprint has been hand crafted to enable you to understand all the factors that play on the stock market. It is called a blueprint because a blueprint is in effect an architectural document to show how something is designed.
The Blueprint will show you a powerful way to envisage how the stock market and the stock market investors are impacted by many factors and when you understand how this framework operates, you can use it to your advantage.
Stock Market Strategy Blueprint Video 2
Part 1 – Understanding that Most Stock Market Strategies Fail
lets us establish some core facts to enable you to really understand why you need a Stock Market Blueprint.
How successful are institutional investors and fund managers at investing?
So, let us first talk about the professionals, driving their sports cars, living in their huge mansions, earning obscene amounts of money investing YOUR MONEY and YOUR Pension Fund. Surely with their success and wealth, they must really know what they are doing. WRONG.
The most simplistic measure of any investor is they should be able to beat the market average they are investing in. That means if I am a fund manager actively investing in the S&P 500, if the S&P-500 makes a gain for the year of 5%, I should expect to make more that 5%. In fact if I am charging my customers 1.5% to invest their money for them and inflation is running at 2%, I will need to make 9% as a minimum so my customers break even.
If I do not, the customers would have been better off investing in a non managed fund like and Index Tracker or an ETF that simply follows what the index makes.
What should your Stock Market Fund Manager should actually achieve
Your fund manager needs to beat the stock market by at least the equivalent of the management fees you are charged for the services.
The Shocking Truth
Standard & Poors actually measure this performance every year to see how well the average Funds & Fund Managers perform against the market averages. The truth is shocking!
Here are other truths.
Almost non of the active fund managers have beaten the market over the past 15 years. (CNBC)
Active Managers Exposed as most US equity funds lag behind market (Financial Times)
FACT: Most actively managed funds will lose you money compared to the market average
The average percent of equity funds performing worse that the market average:
- Over 1 year = 72%
- Over 3 year = 64%
- Over 5 years = 66%
I think you will agree when I say the odds are very much stacked against you. Even if you find a fund that performs well, they will usually have very high fees for managing your money. This means that the chances of you making any money at all after fees are even more remote.
FACT: Nearly 30% of managed funds are so badly managed they actually go bankrupt.
Here is another fascinating report from Standard & Poors dealing with survivorship. This actually means how many fund actually survive a given time period. If a fund makes huge losses it will usually be closed and the remaining money (if any) is returned to the investors unfortunate enough to have invested.
Only 72% of all Domestic Funds in the US managed to survive the last 5 years!
Why do they not perform better?
The problem is many fold.
Most institutions earn their money from a percentage of your total investment pot. Not from the money they make for you, although that is a nice to have.
Motivation. Trading other people’s money. Some fund managers trade their own account alongside the corporate account. You bet they make better returns on their private accounts.
Imagine I know I am going to buy 200,000 share of ABC Corp as part of the investment fund I am managing. This will surely move the market price. Before I make this trade I could buy 5,000 shares in ABC from my private account. They buy with the institutions money the 200,000 shares. The market price moves up. I then sell my private shares for a profit. Easy!
They also have issues with the size of the trades they need to make and also the structure of the fund they market. If they market a fund specializing in commercial real estate companies and that sector (as we witnessed in 2009) undergoes a severe recession, then they may have problems hedging their risk and limiting losses.
Normally the independent investor should not face these issues.
Part 1 – Summary
In part 1 we have established that “professional money managers” are not beating the underlying market growth in terms of profit. So, why would you use their services?
In Part 2 we will take a look at the individual stock market investors and how successful they are. What are your chances of success in the stock market?
Part 2 – Success of the Independent Investor
Welcome to part two in the series of the “Stock Market Profits Blueprint” in this part we look at the chances of success of the independent investor.
An individual investor is someone who invests in the stock market but is not affiliated to Wall Street, investment funds, trading floors or any kind of institution.
FACT: “Overall about 20 percent of the investors studied were able to beat the market consistently”.
This means that 80% of investors fails to make any money in the stock market, in fact they will tend to lose money.
This might seem hard to believe, so let me prove it.
The Research: Can Individual Investors Really Beat The Market?
A study conducted in 2005 study by David Hirsheifer – Professor of Finance at Ohio State University’s Fischer College of Business & Joshua D. Coval of the Harvard Business School measured the trade success on 115,856 US brokerage accounts from January 1990 through November 1996.
Source: Ohio State University
Researchers found that the “top 10 percent of investors they studied earned about 38 percent above the market average per year”.
“Overall about 20 percent of the investors studied were able to beat the market consistently”.
This means 80% of investors failed to beat the market average.
Even worse “About 10 percent of investors did extremely poorly in their choices and underperformed the market about 23 percent a year annualized. The losses of these investors are far greater than the losses of the average individual investor”
Other research backs this up
“Barber and Odean (2000) note, the top-performing quartile of the individual accounts in their dataset outperform the market on average by 0.5 percent per month”.
That means 25% of traders beat the market by 0.5% per year
How was this possible?
The study suggests that “While few would expect individual traders to be, on average, better informed than mutual fund managers, there are compelling reasons to believe that individual traders are better positioned to exploit a given informational advantage.
First, individual traders almost always trade smaller positions than professional traders. As a result, the pressure that their trades impart on prices is likely to be much less.
This makes them far better positioned to trade using strategies that exploit smaller or shorter-term deviations from fundamental values.
Second, individual traders are less constrained than mutual funds to hold a diversified portfolio or to track the market or a given benchmark.”
So how can I be part of the TOP 20% of smart investors?
The key is to be part of the top 20% of really smart, educated investors.
That means some hard work.
How can you educate yourself to be a top 20% performer?
Here is the crunch. Those elusive stock market profits are not easy to find as 80% of investors will attest to. So we need to go and educate ourselves.
But wait there is a little problem with that also.
Most stock market education fails to achieve what it is supposed to. Most courses fall into the Technical Analysis trap. They teach only technical analysis. This is where the Stock Market Profits Blueprint comes in. It will provide you the entire road map of knowledge you need to have to be a top performer.
Part 3 of this serialization will delve into the Blueprint and introduce you to the core concepts.
Part 3 – The Stock Market Strategy Blueprint Overview
Welcome to part three in the series of the “Stock Market Profits Blueprint” in this article we look at the 4 pillars of success.
The Stock Market Blueprint will enable you to become a successful trader by providing you a road map to understanding how the stock market really works.
Stock Market Strategy Blueprint Overview Video 3
Unlike any other structure for learning it is based on 4 pillars.
The 4 Pillars to Profit
Each pillar represents a critical foundation of knowledge. Having a deep understanding of these pillars will enable you to excel in the Stock market. Having this knowledge will mean you no longer seek stock tips, yearn for advice, or be insecure in your trades. You will be a master.
Soon we will look inside the pillars to find the critical knowledge.
But first you need to know there is a war between the stock market professionals.
The War: The Fundamentalists versus the Technicians
Perhaps the word war is a little strong, but it is a war of words.
- Studies the why !
- Studies the cause !
- Focus on value
- Focus on economic data
- Focus on fundamentals
- Forms hypotheses based on fundamental data as to what has value and therefore forecasts using news and economics or simply the value of a business
- Studies the what !
- Studies the effect !
- Focus on market action
- Focus on price
- Focus on trends
- Forms hypothesis bases on what actually happens in the market place, only forms an opinion about the market based on what the market or stock tells them. Supply and demand
What does this really mean: Fundamental Analysis and Technical Analysis? Imagine if you will the job of a Meteorologist. One of the core tasks of the meteorologist is to predict the weather. The approach to weather prediction is in many ways like traders and investors approach the market.
The fundamental approach to weather forecasting means you need to understand the fundamentals. Why rain clouds form? What happens when cold air meets warmer air? How thunder and lightning occurs? How hail or snow forms? Why winds move in particular directions in general? What types of rain cloud produce what types of weather?
However, understanding all of the fundamentals does not enable you to predict the weather on a particular day for a particular region. This is similar to the market.
Understanding how the Federal Reserve works does not enable you to predict the stock price of ABC Inc, nor does knowing that ABC has increased its sales, guarantee in any way a stock price increase.
To predict the weather the weather, forecasters also use a technical approach. They measure the direction of the wind, the temperature of the air, the humidity, levels of rainfall and cloud density. Using this information the weather forecaster can combine what is actually happening with their understanding of the fundamentals of weather to predict weather in a particular area.
Of course, they are never 100% correct in their predictions as the weather, like the Stock Market, has so many chaotic influences that it is impossible to be correct all of the time.
However, if you know that it is currently raining in New York City and the wind is blowing from the north at a certain speed, you can predict with some accuracy when it will be raining in New Jersey.
Using Technical analysis on the stock market is exactly the same. If you know that the market trend is up (the wind direction) and you can see the price movement of a stock is accelerating (wind speed) and you know how much power the rally is carrying using Volume and Momentum, and you can see where the next resistance area will be (New Jersey) then you can assess the probability of a stock price increase. You can then use this probability to assess your risk reward of being correct (forecast the weather), and then place the trade (announce the weather forecast on TV)
Understanding the conditions that breed a healthy stock market and healthy company are absolutely fundamentally important.
However, if you buy any stock at the wrong time when supply and demand is not in your favor you stand a strong chance of losing money. This is why the technical approach is so important.
Part 4 – The Fundamental Analysis Pillar
Welcome to part 4 in the series of the “Stock Market Profits Blueprint”. This section takes a look at the pillar of fundamental analysis.
The Fundamental Investors or Value Investors like Warren Buffet or Benjamin Graham seek out investments where the risk of the trade is extremely low, due to the large difference between the value of the stock and the underlying fundamentals.
There are also many other critical fundamental factors that play on the stock market. The following image enables you to visualize how this fits together.
The effect of Monetary & Fiscal Policy in many ways determines the overall direction of the stock market. They also directly impact employment and demand.
Learning about the fundamental impact of governmental economic policy and money supply on the market is very important to your long term success.
From this information we can assess the long term market direction. This will enable us in turn to adapt our strategy to the market.
Once you have established the long term direction of the market you can decide which companies you will seek to invest in. For example, if the market is in decline you would seek to “go short” on the worst companies in the sector. If the market is in a long term up trend you would seek to “go long” on the best companies in the sector.
Recommended Reading: The Intelligent Investor – Benjamin Graham
To learn more about Fundamental Analysis, evaluating the market direction and finding great companies I highly recommend the Liberated Stock Trader Pro Training.
Part 5- The Technical Analysis Pillar
Welcome to part 5 in the series of the “Stock Market Profits Blueprint”. This section takes a look at the pillar of technical analysis. Technical Theory is the study of fundamentals, but indirectly.
A stock with great fundamentals can increase in value, but when?
Technical analysis is the study of the effect of good fundamentals not the cause. So, when it is time for a stock to start increasing the technical analyst will see this in the charts. Whether the reason is good news, fundamentals, a positive sentiment in the market or improving business climate, all will be seen through the study of the price in the format of charts.
Contrary to popular belief, having a solid grasp of technical analysis enables you to combine it perfectly with your fundamental knowledge of markets and companies.
Stock chart analysis enables you to see the supply and demand balance especially when used professionally with some of the excellent Price & Price Volume indicators available.
You can then set price target based on chart patterns and use these price targets to establish your risk reward ratios.
This in turn will enable you to plan exactly your entry and exit strategies for your stock. Technical analysis also allows you to optimize your timing and stop losses to minimize your risk and maximize your reward.
Part 6- Fundamental & Technical Analysis Combined
Welcome to part 6 of the Stock Market Profits Blueprint.
The Tides and the Waves.
Think of the stock stock market like the ocean. The Ocean has tides (the gravity led movement of the ocean) and the waves (caused by short term winds and currents).
If you imagine that Fundamental Analysis enables you to analyze the movement of the tides. Those big long term trends either a Bull Market or Bear Market are largely dictated by economics.
- Is the economic situation favorable to long term investments and to business?
- Is monetary and fiscal policy loose and favorable? E.g. Easy low cost credit, growth investments from governments.
- Is employment and demand for good and services buoyant? Meaning that revenues with continue to increase.
- Is the business cycle positive?
Technical Analysis is similar to the waves on the ocean.
The waves are the supply and demand in the market place. The waves are measured in Price and the trend. The size and frequency of the waves are dictated by the volume of buyers and sellers.
Enjoying the Ocean View
Take some time to understand the picture of the ocean above, because by understanding this you can understand what indicators and measures to use when analyzing the overall market trend and also the time to buy and sell your individual stocks.
Part 7- Portfolio Management
Welcome to Part 7 of the Stock Market Profits Blueprint series – Portfolio Management.
The importance of managing your stock portfolio & money management is often underestimated. This is an absolutely vital area of mastery if you are to succeed in the long term and generate a consistent revenue from your investments.
The Portfolio Management pillar.
Portfolio Management is the ability to manage your money optimally, understanding how to use compounding and solid growth to maximize your portfolios worth.
Setting solid expectations and real targets to achieve are absolutely key. See “How to become a Stock Market Millionaire” in the Liberated Stock Trader PRO Training
The are many questions which you need to be able to answer for yourself before you begin investing or trading.
Those answers will be different for each individual depending on your profile.
- How long will you be investing for?
- How much money do you have to invest?
- Are you retired or still earning a regular income?
- What is your tolerance for risk?
Key Questions to ask yourself:
- Do I favor Diversification or concentration?
- How many stocks should I buy?
- How long should I hold stocks?
- How much should I reserve in cash?
- How much should I invest in any one stock?
- How can you optimally execute the trade?
- What risk reward factors should I use?
- How do I secure against significant losses?
- When should exit a trade?
- What size of win do I need and how many?
All of the questions are key and all are discussed in the Liberated Stock Trader PRO Training.
Part 8- The Psychology of YOU
Welcome to the Stock Market Profits Blueprint Part 8 – the Psychology Pillar.
What most people neglect to work on are the psychological aspects of trading. This is why I do not believe using Stock Market simulation games provides a realistic indication of future performance.
When real money is on the line, it is a completely difference sport.
You will watch each tick up and down of the market. You will constantly doubt if you did the right thing in the trade or in your analysis. When the trade goes against you you will feel negative emotions, should I sell, should I hold and wait for a bounce back, should I buy more to average down?
Mastering your mind set is important and can greatly assist you while you are “in trade”.
Learn to manage your emotions in a practical way. There are many practical and personal lessons we can get from other traders.
Being the Ruler of you.
Try to setup and review your “in trade rules” to be as emotion free as possible.
For example. If you thoroughly establish ground rules for your trades before you make them, then if you stick to your rules this should help remove some of the emotion inherent with trading your own money.
In Trade Rules take the shape of:
- What criteria should be met before I purchase the stock?
- How much I will invest?
- When the stock price drops to this level I will do what?
- When the stock price rises to this level I will do what?
- I will exit the trade when which criteria are met?
This is a notoriously difficult area of trading to improve. Who can honestly say they are in complete control of their emotions. Not me for sure.
Part 9- The Complete Blueprint
Welcome to the final part of the Stock Market Profits Blueprint Series. The system is essentially a road map to follow to enable you to chart a course through the many stages required to make rational, intelligent investment decisions.
Here you can now see the complete picture. Fundamental and Technical Analysis have factors that influence them, they then lead to the portfolio management and psychology elements.
Follow the black arrows from the top left to the bottom right.
Download the Full 22 Page LiberatedStockTrader-Stock-Market-Strategy-Blueprint-ebook-2017
Selecting the right education for the Stock Market Profits Blueprint
The Technical Analysis Trap
Most stock market education fails to achieve what it is supposed to. Most courses fall into the Technical Analysis Trap. They teach only technical analysis.
While technical analysis is an excellent tool, it is not the only tool.
Both students and education companies fall into the trap of over-reliance on technical analysis.
- You need an education that provides every element of the Stock Market Profits Blueprint.
- An education that completes all 4 pillars of the Stock Market Profits Blueprint
- An education to help propel you into the top 20% of stock market winners
Introducing the Liberated Stock Trader Pro Training:
- Understand what REALLY moves the stock market
- Combine the power of Fundamental Analysis & Technical Analysis
- Utilize the power of Stock Charts, Price Patterns, Volume and Indicators
- Learn how to avoid the sheep mentality – using Sentiment Indicators and News Filtering
- Take control of your own mind with Trading Psychology
- Learn how to do Market Analysis like a professional – to help predict future stock market moves.
About the Author: Barry D. Moore is a Certified Financial Technical Analyst (STA/IFTA) Accredited Technician with 20 years of investing experience and a published author.