Fear and Greed Index Real-time Charts & Sentiment Indicators
Fear and Greed Index with 9 real-time charts to help you understand investor sentiment and know when to buy and sell stocks. We stream Federal Reserve, AAII, VIX CBOE, and 15 stock price technical signals.
The Liberated Stock Trader Fear & Greed Index has 9 real-time, interactive historical charts to help you understand stock market sentiment and volatility.
Welcome to the modern take on the CNN Fear and Greed Index. Using modern sentiment indicators and important core technical analysis, you can easily understand and evaluate the state of fear and greed in the current US stock markets.
What is a Fear and Greed Index?
A fear and greed index brings together stock market price, volume, and sentiment data to enable investors to make better investing decisions and understand the current psychology of stock market investors.
Our 9 fear and greed index charts estimate investor sentiment in the stock market. When investors feel greedy, they buy stocks which pushes prices up by increasing demand.
When people feel fear, they sell stocks, which decreases stock prices and increases volatility as measured by the CBOE VIX index.
Fear = Sell = More Supply of Stocks for Sale = Stock Price Decreases.
Greed = Buy = More Demand for Stocks = Stock Price Increases
Fear & Greed Index Video
9 Fear and Greed Index Charts & Indicators
This fear and greed index has 9 charts, including the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), the NYSE Advance-Decline Ratio (ADR), S&P 500 Weekly Chart, Federal Reserve Bank Kansas Financial Stress Index, and the AAII Sentiment Indicator. Ultimately, fear and greed are expressed in the 26 technical indicators of the S&P 500, providing an accurate picture of the market action.
The CNN fear and greed index often gives an unclear picture of traders’ and investors’ sentiment.
As a technical analyst, the best way to measure fear and greed is to bring 16 of the most popular technical supply and demand price and volume indicators together to establish a buy and sell signal.
- Strong Sell = Extreme Fear
- Sell = Fear
- Neutral = Balance
- Buy = Greed
- Strong Buy = Extreme Greed
Find out more about the technical fear and greed indicators.
Fear and Greed Index: VIX Fear Gauge
The Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX) measures fear by comparing the price volatility of Put Options versus Call Options. Put Options are purchased when a market participant believes the stock price will go down; this protects their assets, like insurance.
A Call Option is purchased when a trader believes that the stock price will increase.
Ultimately the index measures the volatility of those prices. A low VIX price indicates the market is good, and stock prices will continue on their normal upward trajectory.
How does the VIX Fear Gauge Work?
A high VIX price above 30 indicates that more Put contacts are being purchased and that the investors are fearful and covering their trades with downside insurance.
A VIX Volatility Index Above 30 Indicates Fear.
CBOE Volatility Index – >30 = Fear – < 20 = Greed
Powered by Chicago Board Options Exchange, CBOE Volatility Index: VIX [VIXCLS], retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/VIXCLS
Fear and Greed Index NYSE Advance-Decline Ratio
The New York Stock Exchange Advance Decline Ratio is the number of stocks with a price increase for the day divided by the number of stocks with a price decline for the day. Price is ultimately the decider of fear and greed, and rising stock prices mean people feel bullish.
How does the NYSE A/D Ratio work?
A ratio of 1 means that there was one advancing stock for every 1 declining stock; above 2 means that the market is in greed mode with 2 stocks rising to every 1 falling.
Tip: Use the mouse scroll wheel to change interact with the chart time-frames
S&P 500 Fear and Greed Index
Here we take the S&P500 weekly chart and plot a 9-period moving average. The price line is the thicker blue line; the moving average is the thinner line. When the price is above the moving average indicator, this is bullish, meaning the main price trend is up; therefore, investors are greedy.
How does the S&P500 Chart Work?
When the price line is below the moving average, this indicates fear. We are using a weekly line chart to estimate the market’s long-term trend; this helps you make better long-term investing decisions.
Tip: Use the mouse scroll wheel to change interact with the chart time-frames
Federal Reserve Bank Kansas City Financial Stress Index
Financial stress is defined as interruptions to the normal functioning of the financial markets. This important leading indicator is published monthly and gives valuable insight into investor stress in the financial markets. Measures include TED spread, Swap spread, Stock Bond Correlation, Bank Stock Volatility, and more
How does the Financial Stress Index Work?
When the value line is above zero or positive, this indicates that financial stress is above the historical average (fear). A value below zero indicates the normal functioning of the markets (greed). A value above 0.8 typically indicates severe stress and fear in the markets; this occurred in 1999, 2007, and 2020. In September 2008, the index spiked to a value of 6.
Tip: Use the mouse scroll wheel to interact with the chart time-frames. Scroll back to 1999 and 2007 to see the stress line rise.
Fear and Greed Index AAII Sentiment Indicator
The American Association of Independent Investors (AAII) Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market for the next six months; individuals are polled from the ranks of the AAII membership every week. On the chart, the central horizontal line represents the average bullish sentiment over the period; 0.35 means 35% of investors polled were optimistic that the stock market would rise over the next six months.
At the extremes, the AAII sentiment indicator registered 0.2, or 20% of investors were bullish at the worst point in the financial crisis in December 2007. The highest level of bullish sentiment was on December 20, 1999, when 75% of investors were bullish; this was during the Dotcom bubble hype a few months before the crash.
How does AAII Sentiment work?
This indicator is best used as a contrary indicator; when sentiment is extremely high, it is an indication to sell, and when extremely low and an indication to buy stocks. As Warren Buffet says, “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”
TradingView Fear & Greed Buy/Sell Gauge
In addition to the fear and greed indicators we have above, TradingView has very cleverly implemented a Buy-Sell Gauge based on technical analysis. Technical Analysis is based on the principle of evaluating the market direction using stock price and volume to determine underlying supply and demand.
This is a much better indicator than, for example, the AAII Sentiment indicator because, as we know, most investors are wrong at key points in the major market turns. The buy-sell indicators are based on 26 different well established technical indicators:
- 6 Simple Moving Averages with timeframes 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, 200
- 6 Exponential Moving Averages 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, 200
- Ichimoku Cloud (9, 26, 52, 26)
- Volume Weighted Moving Average (20)
- Hull Moving Average (9)
How do the Buy Sell Technical Indicators Work?
When any of the above technical indicators is a buy or a sell, it counts as 1 point. When it is unclear, it counts as neutral. Now take a look at the Buy Sell Indicators below to see the average rating and the buy-sell and neutral ratings.
- Relative Strength Index (14)
- Stochastics %K (14, 3, 3)
- Commodity Channel Index CCI (20)
- Average Directional Index (14)
- Awesome Oscillator
- Momentum (10)
- Moving Average Convergence Divergence MACD (12, 27)
- Stochastic RSI Fast (3, 3, 14, 14)
- Williams Percent Range (14)
- Bull Bear Power
- Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)
Extreme Greed & Fear Boom & Busts
We have all heard the phrase “Boom and Bust,” but what is it? What causes it? More importantly, what effect can it have on our investments?
What are Booms and Busts?
“Boom and Bust” describes the sequence where an economy, commodity, or market sector goes from surging forward, making lots of profit, growing at breakneck rates, and is generally improving the wealth and standard of living for all participants in the market. A boom is usually accompanied by a significant amount of greed or irrationality about the underlying fundamentals of the Boom.
“Bust” refers to the contraction of the previous boom, usually fueled by a significant economic or fundamental change in the criteria that fueled the boom in the first place. This tends to result in various side effects ranging from a reduction in profits, earnings, growth, increased unemployment, restriction of credit, and a great change of psychology of the market participants from optimism and greed to pessimism and fear.
Why do Booms and Busts occur?
Take, for example, the famous Dotcom boom of 2000. Greed surged into the marketplace on the misplaced belief that new Internet-based technology would fundamentally shift the market dynamics and business models of the future.
Technology became fashionable, and “Bricks and Mortar” businesses were perceived as outdated and almost worthless. This paradigm shift meant that money poured into technology stocks at an unrepentant rate and that money poured out of “Bricks and Mortar” stocks at an equal rate.
Signs of A Bust
A telltale sign of problems was noticeable when stock analysts would suggest Price Earnings valuations on technology stocks of 200, 300, or more were reasonable even though the companies in question had never made a profit. The Price Earnings Ratio is the ratio of the Stock Price to its actual earnings.
If a P/E Ratio is at 30, it will take the company 30 years to earn back the share price. The higher the P/E ratio, the higher the expectation that the stock will perform well in the future. You can also see the Price Earnings (PE Ratio) as a valuation of the worth of the stock; if the P/E is 200, you are essentially paying 200 times the company’s earnings capacity.
The Year 2000 Dotcom Bust
In the year 2000, the PE Ratio of the S&P500 reached nearly 45. This was an all-time high and indicated that the market participants’ expectations were completely unrealistic. By the time the inevitable correction was completed, the P/E Ratio for the S&P500 had halved to just over 20.
Professional analysts and so-called “market gurus fueled much of the greed and hype.” They became greedy and euphoric: a heady mixture. When everyone slowly realized that the technology industry would not meet the huge profit expectations, the entire sector collapsed, bringing with it other industries, indices, and markets. The technology bubble had burst.
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- What Caused the Stock Market Crash of 1929? A History
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