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Archive for Technical Analysis

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Well it has been a tough day on the markets today, with the NASDAQ-100 and the DJ Transports down over 3%, and the SP-500 and Russell 3000 down 2.38% and 2.5% respectively.

It still surprises me how well technical analysis works.

I posted a market update on March 30th (flagging the start of a negative divergence), April 27th (reinforcing the divergence) and on May 2nd stating “The significant update is that now the  divergence of RSI 14 with a moving average of 14 on a daily chart is significantly negative for both the  DJ-30, SP-500 and the Russell 3000.”   The May 2nd Article is here

So I did try to warn you.

Liberated Stock Trader PRO Training Course will be launched next week.

The Liberated Stock Trader PRO Training & technical analysis course will be released hopefully next week.  What a mammoth task it has been.  But I am pleased to be able to share with you that the course will include
1. The Liberated Stock Trader Book
2. 16 hours of on demand video in high quality
3. Liberated Stock Trader PRO Mobile edition for the iPhone and iPod Touch
4. Exclusive workshops to support the training

I am really excited about it and I will be pleased to finally free myself from the shackles of my desk and take a brief break from writing, recording and teaching.  No one told me that writing a book would cause me to gain weight.  I need to start exercising again :)

I will keep you updated.

Final word.

Volume has been increasing significantly since the start of April and the market is starting to turn down.  As we know, price decreasing on higher volume is bearish, so now may be a good time to take a break and save your capital for the next move up in the market, whenever that comes.

To your success !

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Apr
17

Chapter 15 – Making the trade – Cash Allocation

Posted by: barrydmoore | Comments Comments Off

This is an excerpt from the Liberated Stock Trader Professional Stock Market Training Course, Chapter 15 – Making the Trade – Section 4 – Part 1 – Cash Allocation.

Making the trade – Cash Allocation

We have covered stop losses and elements of risk, we also covered how many stocks to purchase and now we are looking at how to allocate your money to stocks.  Otherwise known as betting styles, cash allocation is important to understand.   There are two approaches, Martingale and Anti-Martingale.  They help us understand cash allocation strategies.

The Martingale Approach

Before I understood the term “Martingale” I had worked out a way to win at roulette.  I thought it was highly original until I learned that any top level trader or professional technical analyst understands this approach.  When I was younger, before I found the stock market, marriage and children, I enjoyed a regular night out at the casino with friends gambling a small amount.  I used to go with $50 dollars in my pocket and utterly refuse to gamble any more money.  This was play money and when it was gone, it was gone.  My strategy paid off quite well when it worked but when it did not work I went bust.

My strategy was to only bet Black or Red, if I won, I won double.  If I bet $2, I won $2 and got my $2 stake back.  If I lost I would double my next bet to $4, so that if I won I would win back my original loss.  The idea was that I could sustain with $5, 5 straight losses before going bankrupt.  But by constantly doubling my stake I only needed one win to come out ahead.

Martingale Betting Style

Martingale Betting Style

Quick Tip: On a losing streak do not double your betting size to recover your losses in the Stock Market.

This I now know is called the “Martingale Betting Strategy” and it certainly is not recommended for the stock market.  When it worked it was good, especially if lady luck was one my side, but if I hit a losing streak I was broke. Sometimes I would come out with my money doubled, but sometimes I came out with nothing.  If you adopt this approach in the stock market you may do well for a period, but all it will take is to go bust once, then you have no money, which means you have to leave the table.  In the example above, after my 5th successive loss, I was one bet away from bankruptcy.

This chapter goes on to discuss in detail:

  • How to track your trades
  • How many stocks to own
  • Timing and Stop Losses
  • Risk reward
  • Setting price targets
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Dear Reader

I am currenty writing a book and recording the multimedia Trader Academy Pro Training course, which will be absolutely unique.  However while I am tuning the content I have a question for you ! Technical Analysis, how much of it do you actually find useful or use?

There are so many theories and tool sets out there!

  • Japanese Candlesticks
  • Bollinger Bands
  • Envelope Channels
  • Moving Averages, MACD, RSI, Stochastics
  • Momentum, Rate of Change (ROC)
  • Sentiment Indicators (Market Vane for example)
  • Dow Theory

Read More→

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