Author Archive
Chapter 1 – Essential Stock Market Knowledge – Fundamentals
Posted by: | CommentsExcerpt from Chapter 1 of the Liberated Stock Trader Book and accompanying Liberated Stock Trader Training Course
Fundamental Analysis – the real Positives and Negatives
Positives
Understanding macro economics can help in assessing future business climate. The future business climate will dictate the direction of the stock market.
Using fundamental data provides early warnings ! On a long term view fundamentals can provide insights into the effect of Fiscal and Monetary Policy on the direction of global markets.
Being able to accurately value a business can help understand the gap between actual stock price and actual worth – Value Investing
Value Investing which is based on fundamentals alone pays well in the long term !
Fundamentals are the only way to determine the overall health of an economy and therefore how beneficial the climate is for doing business.
Understanding Industry & Sub Industry Business climates provides greater insights !
Easy access to analysts reports based on fundamental data.
Stock Market Cycles – Business & Economic Cycles – Kondratieff to Kuznets
Posted by: | CommentsThis is an excerpt from the forthcoming Liberated Stock Trader Book & Training Course : to be notified of release please register free as a member or select “Get Email Updates” in the left hand bar.
Over the past 200 years much has been written about cycles some of it very useful and some of it not so applicable to trading success. Cycles are evident in nature in the form of the earth’s rotation (days) earth rotation around the Sun (years), the moons rotation around the earth (tides), the seasons, animal migration and solar activity. Some traders believe natural cycles have an effect on the market. Is some ways they do, for example Weather cycles can have an effect on crop output which can affect commodity prices, which in turn affect the stock price of a company dependent on the commodity. However are there other cycles which can be measures for the more general stock market activity?
The effect of cycles on the economy, marketplace and business is clear; in this section we will take a look into the theory of cycles and look at how we can apply them to improve our understanding of market fluctuations and major moves. This will in turn enable us to make better trading decisions.
The most famous cycles are the Kondratieff Wave, Kuznets Cycle, Kuznets Cycle, Business Cycle, Presidential Cycle Seasonal Cycle and Daily Cycles. There are even intraday cycles.
Coca Cola Buying Coca Cola Enterprises CCE – Trading the news
Posted by: | CommentsWhat a great example of my previous article related to trading the news.
A typical example of when big news hits the market those with superior news sources can trade it. In takeover situations prices rocket to just under the bid price of the buying company. In US out of hours trading the stock price of Coca Cola Enterprises Ticker:CCE rocketed from $19.25 to $25 a 25%+ gain, on the news that Coca Cola will be making an acquisition, adding over $2 billion to the worth of this company. $2 billion is a lot to add to the value of a company overnight, this was the bit hitters trading.
If you had a news source that delivered this information to you 30 minutes ahead of everyone else and you are geared up to trade in an absolute instant you could have made good money here. Especially if you had leveraged your money with Option Calls. In and out in an instant. Those that were in early are probably selling as we speak.
Can the private investor compete with the Wall Street old boys network of news? Not really, that’s why I do not trade the news!
Who should you trust with your investments?
Posted by: | Comments
Over the last 50 years we have been indoctrinated to hold professional people in high esteem, a job in banking was respected and working as an Financial Investment Adviser meant you understood how to invest money on behalf of your clients. But over the last two years we have seen this stripped away to reveal the truth, they are only human and humans have flaws, plenty of them!
Bankers once renowned and respected for being conservative with other people’s money were no longer conservative. They nearly lost it all. Money in the bank was supposed to be a safe haven, yet it had been completely risked. Searching for ever increasing profits they took risks with our money and never told us. Now they are too conservative, being too scared to lend money to the very businesses that keep our whole economy going. All this whilst having their profits bolstered by an extremely low cost of money (Fed Funds Rate, Bank of England base rate). They are getting the money at practically no cost while lending it out at still pre-crisis rates. You try getting a loan under 4%. All this while they are starting to pay themselves big bonuses again.
Financial advisers who talked about risk management squarely to not understand risk. Just before the Financial Crisis struck, record numbers of Newsletter writers, Hot Stock Tipsters, TV Pundits were all still bullish. Even when the crisis struck, if you had called your adviser he would have told you to “stay with your funds”, “do not do anything”, or if you really insisted you wanted to move to safety it is then you find out that you cannot as you are stuck in a fund for a “minimum period” and if you moved out there would be a “penalty”. How is that managing risk? Managing risk also should mean you have the ability to move funds quickly with no cost to avoid demolition to your retirement fund.
This exactly happened to my father, he was injured in a horrific workplace accident and had to retire handicapped early. He received a small award from the courts to compensate him for the pain (just enough to live on) . I took him to see the most respected Financial Advisers in his area. With their fancy offices and rows of Audi’s in the car park, my father was quickly convinced these people would conservatively invest his money, to enable him to live out the rest of his life with less money worries. He needed to focus on assisting my mother who also has health issues. Read More→






